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ShortFingerIvankaFondler

The 'banned' premiums...

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Just starting an experiment of sorts on the odds of getting, by way of Santa crates and snowflakes, the ships that have been withdrawn from sale. I have every premium now save the 11 which have been withdrawn:

These I don't have:

  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IV Imperator Nikolai I
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Gremyashchy
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Kamikaze
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Fūjin
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Giulio Cesare
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Belfast
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Mikhail Kutuzov
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VIII Enterprise
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Missouri
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Musashi
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eIX Kronshtadt

 

These I have:

  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887IX Benham
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Georgia
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Jean Bart
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eIX Alaska
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eIX Azuma
  • flag_Europe_6c2bac10ec2bec5799e117af8aa6premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887IX Friesland
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VIII Graf Zeppelin
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Roma
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Vanguard
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Kii
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Massachusetts
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Tirpitz
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Gascogne
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Alabama
  • flag_Pan_Asia_3b66d1136c736e56c9f2f7cda2premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Irian
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Wichita
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Lenin
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VIII Saipan
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VIII Kaga
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Prinz Eugen
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Bayard
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Atago
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VIII Cossack
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VIII Le Terrible
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VIII Asashio
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VIII Kidd
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Duca degli Abruzzi
  • flag_Pan_Asia_3b66d1136c736e56c9f2f7cda2premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VIII Loyang
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VII Nelson
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VII Duke of York
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VII Hood
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VII Scharnhorst
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VII Ashitaka
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Atlanta
  • flag_Pan_America_e1c73e4294d3f8addc39872premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Nueve de Julio
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Boise
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Lazo
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Indianapolis
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Yūdachi
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI W. Virginia 1941
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Prinz Eitel Friedrich
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Z-39
  • flag_Commonwealth_abdc3eb3f8c9b1c0421b3apremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Haida
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Leningrad
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Sims
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Duca d'Aosta
  • flag_Europe_6c2bac10ec2bec5799e117af8aa6premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Błyskawica
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Arizona
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Mutsu
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Warspite
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VI Ark Royal
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI De Grasse
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI T-61
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Dunkerque
  • flag_Pan_Asia_3b66d1136c736e56c9f2f7cda2premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Huanghe
  • flag_Commonwealth_abdc3eb3f8c9b1c0421b3apremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Perth
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Admiral Graf Spee
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Aigle
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Monaghan
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Molotov
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Gallant
  • flag_Pan_Asia_3b66d1136c736e56c9f2f7cda2premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Anshan
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Oktyabrskaya Revolutsiya
  • flag_Europe_6c2bac10ec2bec5799e117af8aa6premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Viribus Unitis
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Genova
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Texas
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Exeter
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Yahagi
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Marblehead Lima
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Marblehead
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Murmansk
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Krasny Krym
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Hill
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Siroco
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Okhotnik

There is a thread on the forums with the supposed odds of getting a premium ship via snowflakes/crates in the WoWs Blitz edition. The odds were just over 1% per crate. Those odds may not be correct and even if they are, they may not apply to the real, i.e. PC, edition of WoWs.

I have 15 Tier 10 ships so far so that is 15 crates. I'll keep a running tab of all the crates I get and the ships, if any,  they yield. If I understand the mechanics correctly, since I have all but the 11 withdrawn ships, if I get any duplicate premium ships it will reroll until it comes back with a ship I don't have.

The sample size is likely going to be too small to be meaningful but, who knows?

More to follow when data starts to come in...

 

 

 

 

 

 

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1,612
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1 in 86 from the announcement. 

 

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5,069
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2 minutes ago, dEsTurbed1 said:

1 in 86 from the announcement. 

 

he have a much higher chance now since he have most of the ships. No repeat of ships this time around

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2 hours ago, reamnaval said:

Just starting an experiment of sorts on the odds of getting, by way of Santa crates and snowflakes, the ships that have been withdrawn from sale. I have every premium now save the 11 which have been withdrawn:

These I don't have:

  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IV Imperator Nikolai I
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Gremyashchy
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Kamikaze
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Fūjin
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Giulio Cesare
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Belfast
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Mikhail Kutuzov
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VIII Enterprise
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Missouri
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Musashi
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eIX Kronshtadt

 

These I have:

  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887IX Benham
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Georgia
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Jean Bart
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eIX Alaska
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eIX Azuma
  • flag_Europe_6c2bac10ec2bec5799e117af8aa6premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887IX Friesland
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VIII Graf Zeppelin
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Roma
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Vanguard
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Kii
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Massachusetts
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Tirpitz
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Gascogne
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Alabama
  • flag_Pan_Asia_3b66d1136c736e56c9f2f7cda2premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Irian
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Wichita
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Lenin
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VIII Saipan
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VIII Kaga
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Prinz Eugen
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Bayard
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Atago
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VIII Cossack
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VIII Le Terrible
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VIII Asashio
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VIII Kidd
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Duca degli Abruzzi
  • flag_Pan_Asia_3b66d1136c736e56c9f2f7cda2premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VIII Loyang
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VII Nelson
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VII Duke of York
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VII Hood
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VII Scharnhorst
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VII Ashitaka
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Atlanta
  • flag_Pan_America_e1c73e4294d3f8addc39872premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Nueve de Julio
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Boise
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Lazo
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Indianapolis
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Yūdachi
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI W. Virginia 1941
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Prinz Eitel Friedrich
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Z-39
  • flag_Commonwealth_abdc3eb3f8c9b1c0421b3apremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Haida
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Leningrad
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Sims
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Duca d'Aosta
  • flag_Europe_6c2bac10ec2bec5799e117af8aa6premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Błyskawica
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Arizona
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Mutsu
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Warspite
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VI Ark Royal
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI De Grasse
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI T-61
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Dunkerque
  • flag_Pan_Asia_3b66d1136c736e56c9f2f7cda2premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Huanghe
  • flag_Commonwealth_abdc3eb3f8c9b1c0421b3apremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Perth
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Admiral Graf Spee
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Aigle
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Monaghan
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Molotov
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Gallant
  • flag_Pan_Asia_3b66d1136c736e56c9f2f7cda2premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Anshan
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Oktyabrskaya Revolutsiya
  • flag_Europe_6c2bac10ec2bec5799e117af8aa6premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Viribus Unitis
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Genova
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Texas
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Exeter
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Yahagi
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Marblehead Lima
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Marblehead
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Murmansk
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Krasny Krym
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Hill
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Siroco
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Okhotnik

There is a thread on the forums with the supposed odds of getting a premium ship via snowflakes/crates in the WoWs Blitz edition. The odds were just over 1% per crate. Those odds may not be correct and even if they are, they may not apply to the real, i.e. PC, edition of WoWs.

I have 15 Tier 10 ships so far so that is 15 crates. I'll keep a running tab of all the crates I get and the ships, if any,  they yield. If I understand the mechanics correctly, since I have all but the 11 withdrawn ships, if I get any duplicate premium ships it will reroll until it comes back with a ship I don't have.

The sample size is likely going to be too small to be meaningful but, who knows?

More to follow when data starts to come in...

 

 

 

 

 

 

Strange I have all the ones you don't have plus the one you do have?

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The only ships I can get are a few rares, which I do really want, and a lot premiums I have zero interest in :fish_nerv:

 

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2 hours ago, reamnaval said:

Just starting an experiment of sorts on the odds of getting, by way of Santa crates and snowflakes, the ships that have been withdrawn from sale. I have every premium now save the 11 which have been withdrawn:

These I don't have:

  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IV Imperator Nikolai I
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Gremyashchy
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Kamikaze
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Fūjin
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Giulio Cesare
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Belfast
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Mikhail Kutuzov
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VIII Enterprise
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Missouri
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Musashi
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eIX Kronshtadt

Since you have the other ships, if you get a ship from a Santa crate, it WILL be one of these. If you get the ship in a Santa box, then it was rolled directly. If it appears in a supercontainer, you rolled a ship you have and it re-rolled a ship you don't.

 

2 hours ago, reamnaval said:

 

There is a thread on the forums with the supposed odds of getting a premium ship via snowflakes/crates in the WoWs Blitz edition. The odds were just over 1% per crate. Those odds may not be correct and even if they are, they may not apply to the real, i.e. PC, edition of WoWs.

I have 15 Tier 10 ships so far so that is 15 crates. I'll keep a running tab of all the crates I get and the ships, if any,  they yield. If I understand the mechanics correctly, since I have all but the 11 withdrawn ships, if I get any duplicate premium ships it will reroll until it comes back with a ship I don't have.

The sample size is likely going to be too small to be meaningful but, who knows?

More to follow when data starts to come in...

 

The data may be skewed because as soon as you have all the ships on the list, you will no longer get duplicates of ships. You will get the other rewards instead. So if you can, only collect the data of people right up until they get the last ship on the list and then ignore the rest of their crate results.

 

30 minutes ago, dEsTurbed1 said:

1 in 86 from the announcement. 

That appears to be that you are getting 1 ship from the list of 86 ships. Not necessarily that the odds are 1 in 86 to get a ship. While a 1.16% chance seems like it could be close to the odds for a ship (for the Mega crate) based on anecdotal evidence, we don't know for sure.

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2 hours ago, reamnaval said:

These I don't have:

I didn't see Kamikaze R anywhere; only noticed because, unlike most of your ships, it's one I do have.

  • Cool 1

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2 hours ago, reamnaval said:

The odds were just over 1% per crate.

That is not the odds. It means you can get 1 of 86 ships which happens to be the number of ships in the list..

1 hour ago, dEsTurbed1 said:

1 in 86 from the announcement. 

^^^^^^

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23 minutes ago, Kizarvexis said:

That appears to be that you are getting 1 ship from the list of 86 ships. Not necessarily that the odds are 1 in 86 to get a ship. While a 1.16% chance seems like it could be close to the odds for a ship (for the Mega crate) based on anecdotal evidence, we don't know for sure.

I don't know if I will get enough data to have any sense of what the odds are of getting a ship. If my RNG is bad, I may get none. If I get more than one, it might just be good luck rather than a representative sample. I'm also looking to see if there is a pattern as far as which tier drops.  I've seen an assertion that you have to get the lower tier ships before you have a chance of getting a higher tier.  If I get a Musashi or Missouri before an Imp. Nikolai, then I can disprove the claim that they dispense from lower to higher.  That's assuming I get more than one ship, or even one...

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35 minutes ago, FrodoFraggin said:

and a lot premiums I have zero interest in

This is what I am expecting anymore.  There are a couple I would like but odds are I would end up with Marblehead Lima or the like... 

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3 minutes ago, reamnaval said:

I don't know if I will get enough data to have any sense of what the odds are of getting a ship. If my RNG is bad, I may get none. If I get more than one, it might just be good luck rather than a representative sample. I'm also looking to see if there is a pattern as far as which tier drops.  I've seen an assertion that you have to get the lower tier ships before you have a chance of getting a higher tier.  If I get a Musashi or Missouri before an Imp. Nikolai, then I can disprove the claim that they dispense from lower to higher.  That's assuming I get more than one ship, or even one...

Yeah, it will take a LOT of data to suss out those data points. I agree that the assertion that you can not get a higher tier ship first is bogus, but some have suggested that getting a lower tier is more likely than a high tier and that takes more data to prove or disprove. If I buy any Santa crates, i'll post my results up and until I get the two ships I'm missing.

I just want to make sure you caught the part about people not getting duplicate ships after they have all the ships on the list as that can skew the results. Because if people have all the ships, their ship rolls will be rerolled to a non-ship reward.

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Bought a batch of 20 mega crates and the initial yield was the Tier IV Imperator Nikolai and two Tier IXs...Musashi and Kronshtadt.  Three ships out of 20 mega containers *could* imply a drop rate of 10-15% but the sample size is tiny.

One strong inference though is that it is a viable strategy to get the rare ships by first buying up all the available premiums and then using crates to force out the rares.

I used 6,000 dubs to get the first PR boost and that granted two more mega crates: Frosty Firs and Basilisks.

As an aside, two more Tier IXs also means 150 more steel once the snowflakes are blown off.

First batch.PNG

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4 minutes ago, reamnaval said:

Bought a batch of 20 mega crates and the initial yield was the Tier IV Imperator Nikolai and two Tier IXs...Musashi and Kronshtadt.  Three ships out of 20 mega containers *could* imply a drop rate of 10-15% but the sample size is tiny.

One strong inference though is that it is a viable strategy to get the rare ships by first buying up all the available premiums and then using crates to force out the rares.

I used 6,000 dubs to get the first PR boost and that granted two more mega crates: Frosty Firs and Basilisks.

As an aside, two more Tier IXs also means 150 more steel once the snowflakes are blown off.

First batch.PNG

Ladies and gentlemen, most likely one of the most lucky people you'll meet in life.  lol.

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All I can say is last year, when I finished out my collection of the 'banned', once I had every other ship on the available list, it took only 2 20x packs (top tier/mega gift) to get the 6 missing ones (at the time, Fujin, Kutz, Nikolai, Gremy, and Kami; the rest I had already from other means). That implies ~6.67_% drop rate, but I would guess it's closer to 5 given the generality of people choosing 'round' numbers.

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Just now, CaliburxZero said:

Ladies and gentlemen, most likely one of the most lucky people you'll meet in life.  lol. 

Well, I've had worse days. A second batch of 20 mega grates yielded the Missouri, the Kutuzov, the Belfast, the Fujin and the Kamikaze.

42 crates, 8 rares ships. I think I'm about done with crates for this year.

Second batch.PNG

  • Cool 2

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Anyone that would want to play Nikolai in this meta is a fool, it was awful against CVs before the rework, now its not even worth taking out of the port.

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6 minutes ago, reamnaval said:

Well, I've had worse days. A second batch of 20 mega grates yielded the Missouri, the Kutuzov, the Belfast, the Fujin and the Kamikaze.

42 crates, 8 rares ships. I think I'm about done with crates for this year.

Second batch.PNG

WOWOWOWOW!!

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8 minutes ago, reamnaval said:

42 crates, 8 rares ships. I think I'm about done with crates for this year.

I think you've got all the most desirable ones. I agree - it's time for you to stop. 

7 minutes ago, SmokinCAT said:

Anyone that would want to play Nikolai in this meta is a fool, it was awful against CVs before the rework, now its not even worth taking out of the port.

It's not as much of a problem if you play co-op; there's only one enemy CV there, and it's not that effective.

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Am happy for you all to get rare ships, as HRK is very weak I maybe have to wait for another year when our economy do better.

good luck rest of all who get to go for rare ships !!!

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6 minutes ago, Ensign_Cthulhu said:

I think you've got all the most desirable ones. I agree - it's time for you to stop. 

It's not as much of a problem if you play co-op; there's only one enemy CV there, and it's not that effective.

I forget that people still play coop, but to me its not worth it since the rewards aren't even close to randoms.

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43 minutes ago, SmokinCAT said:

Anyone that would want to play Nikolai in this meta is a fool, it was awful against CVs before the rework, now its not even worth taking out of the port.

Yeah, the AA consist of two drunken russians tossing empty vodka bottles at the planes....mine hardly ever leaves port....and it's a damn shame.

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54 minutes ago, CaliburxZero said:

Ladies and gentlemen, most likely one of the most lucky people you'll meet in life.  lol.

Bear in mind he literally has all the other ships that can drop already so if a ship drops it has to be one of the reserved list ships.

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14 hours ago, reamnaval said:

Just starting an experiment of sorts on the odds of getting, by way of Santa crates and snowflakes, the ships that have been withdrawn from sale. I have every premium now save the 11 which have been withdrawn:

These I don't have:

  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IV Imperator Nikolai I
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Gremyashchy
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Kamikaze
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Fūjin
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Giulio Cesare
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Belfast
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVIII Mikhail Kutuzov
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VIII Enterprise
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Missouri
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Musashi
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eIX Kronshtadt

 

These I have:

  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887IX Benham
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Georgia
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192IX Jean Bart
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eIX Alaska
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eIX Azuma
  • flag_Europe_6c2bac10ec2bec5799e117af8aa6premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887IX Friesland
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VIII Graf Zeppelin
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Roma
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Vanguard
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Kii
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Massachusetts
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Tirpitz
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Gascogne
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VIII Alabama
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  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VII Scharnhorst
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  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVII Lazo
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  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI W. Virginia 1941
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Prinz Eitel Friedrich
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Z-39
  • flag_Commonwealth_abdc3eb3f8c9b1c0421b3apremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Haida
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Leningrad
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Sims
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Duca d'Aosta
  • flag_Europe_6c2bac10ec2bec5799e117af8aa6premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VII Błyskawica
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Arizona
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Mutsu
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Warspite
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_4516ee494bb0396e51796cebff5e45c3VI Ark Royal
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI De Grasse
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI T-61
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192VI Dunkerque
  • flag_Pan_Asia_3b66d1136c736e56c9f2f7cda2premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Huanghe
  • flag_Commonwealth_abdc3eb3f8c9b1c0421b3apremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Perth
  • flag_Germany_18970d883c7758b53538983bd09premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Admiral Graf Spee
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Aigle
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Monaghan
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eVI Molotov
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Gallant
  • flag_Pan_Asia_3b66d1136c736e56c9f2f7cda2premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887VI Anshan
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Oktyabrskaya Revolutsiya
  • flag_Europe_6c2bac10ec2bec5799e117af8aa6premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Viribus Unitis
  • flag_Italy_206c77d5bf356559100ac3e95fdb7premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Genova
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1d0cabf1997104fd727039ab9c098192V Texas
  • flag_United_Kingdom_c1f75d7cca85dc4b4820premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Exeter
  • flag_Japan_740b57e1da9b5d3fe46b61e09e3dcpremium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Yahagi
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Marblehead Lima
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Marblehead
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Murmansk
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_1114542bcd311c388080eea3a4d54a7eV Krasny Krym
  • flag_USA_dd9fc06d19a8638f4077ab2fe200d22premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Hill
  • flag_France_1b45875fe2166c392a4b0801c9fapremium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Siroco
  • flag_Russia_6ce701e1c2f2ac3909a68a0a7b23premium_9ffc494df739f989c98f2dd3a4e40887V Okhotnik

There is a thread on the forums with the supposed odds of getting a premium ship via snowflakes/crates in the WoWs Blitz edition. The odds were just over 1% per crate. Those odds may not be correct and even if they are, they may not apply to the real, i.e. PC, edition of WoWs.

I have 15 Tier 10 ships so far so that is 15 crates. I'll keep a running tab of all the crates I get and the ships, if any,  they yield. If I understand the mechanics correctly, since I have all but the 11 withdrawn ships, if I get any duplicate premium ships it will reroll until it comes back with a ship I don't have.

The sample size is likely going to be too small to be meaningful but, who knows?

More to follow when data starts to come in...

From past experience, if you don't already have a Krispy Kreme, you soon will. :Smile_teethhappy:

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