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enderland07

Ranked Math

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There seems to be a lot of people who have a hard time getting ranked. Here's a chart that should help understand why WR is so meaningful in ranked.

This shows how many stars you gain every 10 games, based on WR and star save rate in losses (assuming you are in the bracket where you don't gain a bonus star):

image.thumb.png.2baa733c2ed6ea08f66c9fcbb67312eb.png

For example if you have a 55% WR and save your star 15% of your losses, you will gain an average of 1.68 stars for every 10 games you play (5.5 - (4.5*0.85)).

You can use this to get an estimate of your season duration once you have enough games. Keep in mind your WR will likely drop once you hit the R5 bracket, so if you are averaging 60% WR in the 5-10 range you may wish to adjust that lower.

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Does this factor in how bad my teams are and the fact I can't carry them while putting out 40k damage in t10? 

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1 minute ago, Ducky_shot said:

Does this factor in how bad my teams are and the fact I can't carry them while putting out 40k damage in t10? 

NEVER!

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WR is random. 

                      not serious

 

 

Edited by Kombat_W0MBAT
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Very useful. It should be mentioned that win rate for most players will go up the later in the season it gets. 

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1 minute ago, Kombat_W0MBAT said:

WR is random. 

 

 

                                                                                                         not serious

 

 

Specifically for certain clans WG loves.

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2 minutes ago, Madwolf05 said:

Specifically for certain clans WG loves.

Does that mean I need to be in a clan to be loved???

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2 minutes ago, Kombat_W0MBAT said:

 

Aw dagnabbit! You quoted too soon. 

Mm is semi random.... Let's go with that

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3 minutes ago, enderland07 said:

Does that mean I need to be in a clan to be loved???

No, you need to be in a clan to be hated. 

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Just now, Ducky_shot said:

No, you need to be in a clan to be hated. 

I've gotten so much more rage in randoms without a clan tag though!

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13 minutes ago, Kombat_W0MBAT said:

WR is random. 

                      not serious

 

 

It's not random, WR obviously favors better clans/players beceause WG MM rigs it for them!

Edited by XpliCT_PaiiN

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1 minute ago, enderland07 said:

I've gotten so much more rage in randoms without a clan tag though!

Yeah, because you aren't getting good rng with tags anymore. 

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4 minutes ago, XpliCT_PaiiN said:

It's not random, WR obviously favors better clans/players beceause WG MM rigs it for them!

So how do they get better in the first place for Mm to recognize to rig for them? 

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Just now, Ducky_shot said:

Yeah, because you aren't getting good rng with tags anymore. 

Ah WG must assume if you have no clan you want to play with the raging whiners?

I guess that makes sense. I found my overall MM went way up when I first joined a clan (started winning a lot more!) so I guess it's just more evidence the game is rigged against us normal folks :cap_yes:

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Consider this.... Every game, every player has an equal chance to win if they Never Press the Battle Button.

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21 minutes ago, Kombat_W0MBAT said:

WR is random. 

It's totally random! Anyone who says otherwise just doesn't know statistics, and is probably shilling for weegee

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5 minutes ago, Ducky_shot said:

So how do they get better in the first place for Mm to recognize to rig for them? 

You email Boris. Boris always happy to hook you up with good MM.

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Just now, vak_ said:

You email Boris. Boris always happy to hook you up with good MM.

how do  i  email boris?

 

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6 minutes ago, enderland07 said:

how do  i  email boris?

Top sikrit clan stuff, sorry. Cost Kraken many fine bottles of vodka and a few blocks of Marlboros to learn it.

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10 minutes ago, vak_ said:

Top sikrit clan stuff, sorry. Cost Kraken many fine bottles of vodka and a few blocks of Marlboros to learn it.

Bummer, I had an email for Yulia. She doesn't seem to be able to hook me up. 

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2 hours ago, n00bot said:

Your math is wrong.  Use the Negative Binomial distribution.

Nice, drive by links with no explanation.

That works assuming you don't know your winrate. In ranked, you can see continuously what your WR is and keep revising your games to rank-out calculation. You can also check it at the end of the season.

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3 hours ago, Ducky_shot said:

So how do they get better in the first place for Mm to recognize to rig for them? 

I hope that was a woosh, and not you actually taking me seriously.

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