The hook line & sinker container conspiracy unfolds i got a super!

[stockmankrause]

Since the nerfs seems so long ago i got my first super just now.

 

Yes the nerfs the odds to win have been cut approx 80% or more to the point of waste time to even try.

 

I did do 3 containers per day all try your luck and 1 coin drop as the game went squidgy that time?

 

Anyhow my first super since nerfs i expect crap just like wg's sales for xmas.

 

[CPT_Nelson]

[awiggin]

Haven't seen one in a month...Who cares? Quit worrying so much about free stuff, and just play the game.....

 

[stockmankrause]

 

I own you.

http://i.imgur.com/nCCp5c1.gifv

[stockmankrause]

Haven't seen one in a month...Who cares? Quit worrying so much about free stuff, and just play the game.....

 

Perhaps if they fix the game and do decent sales i might enjoy the abyss that is na server?

[TenguBlade]

You know that the SC drop chance was always 5% with normal crates and 10% with Try Your Luck, right?  In essence, near-nonexistent either way?

[stockmankrause]

You know that the SC drop chance was always 5% with normal crates and 10% with Try Your Luck, right?  In essence, near-nonexistent either way?

 

Well if it was 10% its now 0.10% and that sucks so much salt the sea would turn to evian.

 

 end this nerf nonsense............

[Battleship_DukeofYork]

Yeah, the nerf blows.

[Kapitan_Wuff]

You know that the SC drop chance was always 5% with normal crates and 10% with Try Your Luck, right?  In essence, near-nonexistent either way?

 

Where did you get these numbers? I am have a 1.6% supercontainer draw, always pick 'try you luck'.

[invictus97]

I try to get the 1st daily whenever I get a chance to play.  And always pick the try your luck, got a super container the other day with 100 dragon flags!

[Personator]

Since the nerfs seems so long ago i got my first super just now.

 

Yes the nerfs the odds to win have been cut approx 80% or more to the point of waste time to even try.

There have been no nerfs to containers

 

[Umikami]

Translation:

 

I'm not getting enough free stuff, whah, please give me more.

[Formerly_Wu]

You think that's bad? I've spent $20 on lottery tickets every day for the last thirty years, and I haven't won the Powerball even once!

 

/s

[Happy668]

i said they nerfed it big time, but too many fanboys were too eager to defend wg

now it's pretty clear they probably nerf it from 10% to 1%

[stockmankrause]

There have been no nerfs to containers

 

 

i said they nerfed it big time, but too many fanboys were too eager to defend wg

now it's pretty clear they probably nerf it from 10% to 1%

 

Nerfed not a little but nerfed to death.

[TenguBlade]

Where did you get these numbers? I am have a 1.6% supercontainer draw, always pick 'try you luck'.

Those were datamined values for the chance per roll, i.e. every time you pick a container, I believe.

[Rouxi]

Since the nerfs seems so long ago i got my first super just now.

 

Yes the nerfs the odds to win have been cut approx 80% or more to the point of waste time to even try.

 

It's a waste of time to click two buttons to get free loot? How entitled are you? They are literally giving you free stuff for doing nothing but playing the game which you do anyway yet you're here whining that it's not enough and you deserve more.

[Kapitan_Wuff]

Those were datamined values for the chance per roll, i.e. every time you pick a container, I believe.

 

They seem very high. I seem to remember seeing 1% (2% for 'try your luck), but don't think that was official. 

[TenguBlade]

They seem very high. I seem to remember seeing 1% (2% for 'try your luck), but don't think that was official. 

Well, at least we agree that TYL has a doubled chance compared to normal.  I've seen people in-game claim it lowers your chances; certainly seems that way sometimes

[IceSerpen7]

 

Where did you get these numbers? I am have a 1.6% supercontainer draw, always pick 'try you luck'.

 

TenguBlade believes that datamined values from the first week are still valid (lulz).

[Aetreus]

I think that SC chances have a measure to prevent someone from getting either extremely lucky or extremely unlucky, there's probably some sort of count of how many it'll give you in a certain time period. That would align people having gotten several to start with and now fewer, and those who missed out still getting SC's pretty often.

[yashma]

You know that the SC drop chance was always 5% with normal crates and 10% with Try Your Luck, right?  In essence, near-nonexistent either way?

I think they changed it.  At  10%, people would be averaging more than one super container a week if they got at least 2 containers every day.  And by and large I did that for the first few weeks, but then I have not gotten a single super container the last few patches.

 

It would be curious to see what the data mining says now.  I suspect it would be closer to 1-2%.

[TenguBlade]

I think that SC chances have a measure to prevent someone from getting either extremely lucky or extremely unlucky, there's probably some sort of count of how many it'll give you in a certain time period. That would align people having gotten several to start with and now fewer, and those who missed out still getting SC's pretty often.

If only.  I've gotten 1 supercontainer ever and I'm pretty close to 100 crates.  And it was dropped after this supposed "stealth nerf" to drop chances.

I think they changed it.  At  10%, people would be averaging more than one super container a week if they got at least 2 containers every day.  And by and large I did that for the first few weeks, but then I have not gotten a single super container the last few patches.

 

It would be curious to see what the data mining says now.  I suspect it would be closer to 1-2%.

Well if they did, it's not hurting or helping me any more than it was before.  I'll wait for actual confirmation before saying anything, because the system always did nothing but flip me off.

[GhostBunyip]

My division mate and I got one each this evening/morning (50 ocean soul camos for him and 1000 dubloons for me). I haven't seen or heard of one for about two weeks, I was starting to worry they had been nerfed into extinction. I have a feeling that quite a few will be received this weekend. No evidence to support this. Just a feeling now that I've seen two in less than an hour.

 

Ps: We both selected "try your luck", I normally go consumables or coins. 

[groomsiebelle]

I have tracked from nearly the start for my own records...I have 4 SC in 50 TYL opened, and 2 SC in 85 non "TYL" opened.  Assuming the TYL is double your chance, I'd expect 3 SC by the time I get to 100 "non-TYL" opened so I think I'm in the range to do that.  Based on my numbers, it looks like and estimated 3.2% chance for "non-TYL" and (assuming double odds for tYL) 6.4% chance using TYL.  This is consistent with the larger data set value of 6.1% on TYL found here (if you want to help actually collect data, enter your containers--all of them, as entering only supers only skews the data--here). 

 

What the above does not and cannot account for is if the odds have been changed since start of the new rewards container system.  If they have changed then need to look for trend rates fro drops and see if there is a "knee in the curve" or something that would point to a shift.  Again, there is data reported out there, if I have time maybe I'll try to sort through it.  Meantime, I'm just enjoying a better rewards system that we had before containers.